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The memory shortage is causing a repricing of consumer electronics

Simon Willison · May 22, 2026 · Industry Trends

AI data center demand for HBM memory is pricing out cheap consumer smartphones globally.

“a single gigabyte of HBM consumes more than three times the wafer capacity that a gigabyte of DDR or LPDDR does”

AI GPU demand has pushed HBM's share of global memory wafer capacity from 2% to an expected 20% by end of 2026, crowding out LPDDR production used in consumer devices. Because HBM is far more wafer-intensive per gigabyte, memory manufacturers are structurally constrained from serving both markets simultaneously. The downstream effect is already visible in sub-$100 smartphones, with major implications for emerging markets in Africa and South Asia.

memory hardware ai-infrastructure consumer-electronics supply-chain

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